oillatest news & developments
Cyril Ramaphosa at the Namibia-South Africa Binational Commission. Picture: NIPDB.

‘Kleinboet’ emerges as a key economic player

Namibia’s investment surge and offshore oil prospects are redefining its relationship with South Africa and global investors

Children wade in the water with cargo ships at anchor in the background and a fisherman nearby, in the Strait of Hormuz off Bandar Abbas, Iran, Tuesday, June 30, 2026. (Amirhosein Khorgooi/ISNA via AP,File)

Mediators see progress in diplomatic efforts in Iran

A lull in US-Iran fighting boosts diplomatic efforts, though tensions over Hormuz and Iran’s nuclear programme remain

Sunny oil rig. Rawpixel/Currency

From gold to gas: reclaiming South Africa’s resource advantage 

South Africa’s reluctance to embrace its mining sector as an engine for growth is both absurd and financially self-destructive

oil see-saw. Rawpixel/Currency

Dizzying reversal in oil prices has rates in and out of play

Lower oil prices have eased inflation risks and boosted bonds, but uncertainty over expectations and US rates keeps a July hike in play

Reserve Bank governor Lesetja Kganyago. Gallo Images/Fani Mahuntsi

Why the SARB should hike rates on Thursday  

Higher oil prices, rising inflation and the rand: South Africans need to brace for a 25-basis-point rate hike

Leaking oil barrel. Rawpixel/Currency

If the oil runs out …

The oil market will run out of road by early August. Which means we need a diplomatic solution to Iran – fast

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PODCAST: ‘Sharp Sharp’ – ruled by hitmen

Taxis, guns for hire and the Nigerian man who’s coining it as the Iran war interrupts global oil supply

Bond yields horror. Rawpixel; Factset, The New York Times; Currency

Breaking bad: why rising bond yields should scare you

Bond yields are at levels last seen in the 2007 crisis. Equities are at record highs. One of these markets is wrong – and it’s probably not bonds

President Donald Trump walks down the stairs of Air Force One upon his arrival at Joint Base Andrews, Md., Friday, May 15, 2026. (AP Photo/Luis M. Alvarez)

Trump calls off strike on Iran

The US president says he’s called off a strike planned for Tuesday at the request of Gulf allies, but warns the military to be prepared for full, large-scale assault

manufacturing. rawpixel/currency collage

Factory floor: the manufacturing recovery that may never be

March’s economic data provides a sense of things looking up. It belies the actual state of the manufacturing sector

Sasol’s Secunda plant. Picture: Per-Anders Pettersson/Getty Images

Shrewd on crude? Riding the Sasol seesaw

Sasol shares are up 50%, to R215, since the start of the war. A year ago they were trading at less than R60. What’s the prognosis?

The Jordan flagged cargo ship “Baghdad” sails in Persian Gulf towards Strait of Hormuz in United Arab Emirates, Wednesday, April 22, 2026. (AP Photo)

Iran fires on, seizes ships in Hormuz

Iran has fired on three ships in the Strait of Hormuz as the US maintains its blockade and diplomacy stalls

Oil South Africa. Rawpixel/Currency collage

Why South Africa is so vulnerable to the Iran war

The Iranian oil shock is reversing South Africa’s modest recovery, exposing structural weaknesses in energy, investment and household spending

Tankers anchored in the Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Qeshm Island, Iran, Saturday, April 18, 2026. (AP Photo/Asghar Besharati)

Iran-US ceasefire in question

Tensions between the US and Iran are sharpening in the Strait of Hormuz, amid uncertainty about further talks

Flames rise from an oil storage facility south of the capital Tehran as strikes hit the city during the U.S.–Israel military campaign, Iran, Saturday, March 7, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Will oil prices ever truly go back to ‘normal’?

The challenge now may not be the short-term disruption to oil supply, but the realisation that the days of cheap oil are over

Hormuz no entry. Wikimedia commons / Rawpixel / Currency collage

The Hormuz shock didn’t break markets – it repriced them

Oil is still flowing – but at a higher structural cost. This is what the Hormuz repricing means for inflation, rate expectations and bonds

Fuel relief. Gallo Images/Misha Jordaan/ Pexels/Jan van der wol / Currency collage

Phew! Relief at the fuel pumps, but rate risks linger 

Godongwana’s fuel relief buys policymakers breathing room, but economists warn the inflation risk isn’t gone – just deferred

FILE – Ships sail through the Arabian Gulf toward the Strait of Hormuz as the sun sets in the United Arab Emirates Monday, March 23, 2026. (AP Photo, File)

‘Go get your own oil’,  Trump tells allies

US President Donald Trump has lashed out at allies, saying that securing the Strait of Hormuz is ‘not for us’

Fuel tank. Rawpixel/Currency collage

Fuel levy relief: the problem isn’t money, it’s political will

The pain of petrol and diesel price hikes could be offset by temporarily reducing the fuel levy. That requires the ANC to act – and soon

Iran investing. Hormuz. Rawpixel/Currency collage

What history says about investing during the Iran war

The Iran conflict has rippled through commodity, currency and equity markets. But the biggest risk for investors is not war, but how they respond