geopoliticslatest news & developments

CHRIS ROPER: Make Africa great(er) again

The UN has voted to phase out the Mercator projection in favour of an accurate world map, restoring Africa's true geographical scale

Burning dollar

STUART THEOBALD: When trust fades: the high cost of leaving the US-led financial system

The world is losing confidence in US systems

China: The electro-state reshaping the oil market

China’s shift from oil to electricity is giving Beijing power to influence global crude prices and reshape energy geopolitics

CHRIS ROPER: Making a killing on oil

There’s a disturbing arithmetic to profiteering amid catastrophe. The $93bn that oil companies have made off the Iran war is testament to this

Khumbudzo Ntshavheni Orwell. OJ Koloti/Gallo Images via Getty Images; Rawpixel; Currency collage

Totally Volga: South Africa’s Orwellian diplomacy hits a new low

Khumbudzo Ntshavheni channelled the totalitarian leaders of Orwell’s ‘1984’ at a recent event, where ‘doublespeak’ was the order of the day

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PODCAST: On foreign affairs and the longevity of Larry the Cat

Mark Barnes and Tim Cohen on foreign affairs, Donald Trump and Xi Jinping, and the denizens of 10 Downing Street. And AI

National flags of BRICS countries: South Africa, India, Brazil, Russia and China (L-R) are seen on September 18, 2021 in Zhengzhou, Henan Province of China. The 15th BRICS summit is set to run from August 22nd to 24th in Johannesburg. (Photo by Li Qingsheng/VCG via Getty Images)

Carpe per diem: how Brics has lost its clout

The gathering of the Brics foreign ministers in New Delhi last week was an exercise in irrelevance

President Donald Trump participates in a welcome ceremony with China’s President Xi Jinping at the Great Hall of the People, Thursday, May 14, 2026, in Beijing. (AP Photo/Mark Schiefelbein)

Xi plays hardball on Taiwan

Trump’s historic visit to China saw the US president offer platitudes while Xi took a hard line on Taiwan, warning that differences could lead to conflict

U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping shake hands as they depart following a bilateral meeting at Gimhae Air Base on October 30, 2025 in Busan, South Korea. Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

Trump‑Xi summit: three ways the US and China can compete without going to war

Trump’s China visit is an opportunity to ease tensions. But while neither country can escape their rivalry – neither can win it either

China Iran. Wikimedia Commons / Rawpixel / Currency collage

China has played a key role in the Iran war – and will continue to do so

China has kept Iran’s economy afloat and used its diplomatic power to push for peace. But it’s also hedging its bets

Smoke rises following an Israeli airstrike in Dahiyeh, Beirut’s southern suburbs, Lebanon, Monday, March 30, 2026. (AP Photo/Bilal Hussein)

Iran: the strategic winners and losers, so far

Who’s likely to benefit in the US-Iran war? Greg Mills and Ray Hartley analyse the balance sheet

A thick plume of smoke rises from an oil storage facility hit by a U.S.-Israeli strike late Saturday in Tehran, Iran, Sunday, March 8, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

These are shaky times for oil markets. What will a prolonged war mean for prices?

Iran’s objective in its war is simple: disrupt oil exports and, by doing so, weaken its opponents’ economies.

A plume of smoke rises following a U.S.-Israeli military strike in Tehran, Iran, Tuesday, March 3, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

‘Malignment’: the direction of South Africa’s foreign relations

By backing Iran and ignoring other violations of international law, South Africa risks losing the moral authority that once defined its diplomacy

FirstRand CEO Mary Vilakazi. Firstrand.co.za

FirstRand’s Vilakazi asks South Africa for a ‘more neutral stance’ as Iran war escalates

The bank’s CEO is concerned that geopolitical fallout resulting from South Africa’s perceived alliances could hurt the economy

A man carries an Iranian flag to place on the rubble of a police facility struck during the U.S.–Israeli military campaign in Tehran, Iran, Wednesday, March 4, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

Iran says US will ‘bitterly regret’ torpedoing warship

Iran has launched a new wave of attacks in the wake of the sinking of one of its warships, calling it ‘an atrocity at sea’

Smoke rises in Tehran after a series of explosions on March 1. Picture: Fatemeh Bahrami/Anadolu via Getty Images.

The smell of napalm in the morning

Can’t you just picture Donald Trump yesterday, scowling into the unfortunate mirror while mimicking Robert Duvall’s legendary line as the bare-chested Lt-Col Bill Kilgore on a…

SA international relations hypocrisy. Rawpixel/Currency collage

South African foreign policy: vrot with contradiction 

South Africa’s stance on Iran is as predictable as it is hypocritical. Not least given the latest assault on Zimbabwe’s democratic laws

South Africa in the world order. Rawpixel/Currency collage

How South Africa can win in the new world order  

Hint: it will require more diplomatic hard work and a shift in allegiances away from the Brics towards the G20 bloc

Elephants fighting over Africa. Rawpixel/Currency collage

Claiming the ground beneath the elephants: Africa’s new geopolitical challenge

Africa is facing a new squeeze between rival powers. This time its critical minerals and infrastructure are in play. Co-operation is crucial for leverage

Dirco direction compass. Rawpixel/Currency collage

Israel and South Africa: nostalgia is not a strategy

South Africa’s international relations require derisking, not provocation. Dirco hasn’t got the memo